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Pinoy Big Brother Teen Edition 4 | Predicting the Big Winner

Given the two restriction that will affect the results of the BFF at the Big Night this upcoming July 7, a lot of people are now debating o...

Given the two restriction that will affect the results of the BFF at the Big Night this upcoming July 7, a lot of people are now debating on who will be the Big Winner. 

As of the moment, the following are the data we have collected during the last eviction night!

Myrtle - 39.58%
Karen - 26.76%
Roy - 12.10%
Joj & Jai - 9.85%

That amounts to 88.29%, if we are to project this to 100%, the result will be:
Myrtle - 44.83%
Karen - 30.31%
Roy - 13.70%
Joj & Jai - 11.16%


Let us say that PBB collects 3,000,000 votes. 

Name of Housemate - [Projected BBS Votes] - [Projected BBE Votes]
MYRTLE - [1,120,750] - [430,000] =690,750 or 19.74%
KAREN - [757,750] - [50,000] =707,750 or 20.22%
ROY - [342,500] - [10,000] =332,500 or 9.50%
JOJ & JAI - [279,000] - [10,000] =269,000 or 7.69%

Still, the Big Winner slot is between Myrtle and Karen. Roy and Joj & Jai for the third and fourth places.

Let us say that PBB collects 2,000,000 votes.

Name of Housemate - [Projected BBS Votes] - [Projected BBE Votes]
MYRTLE - [762,102] - [240,000] =522,102 or 14.92%
KAREN - [515,257] - [40,000] =475,257 or 13.58%
ROY - [189,659] - [10,000] =222,982 or 6.37%
JOJ & JAI - [232,982] - [10,000] =179,659 or 5.13%

Still, the Big Winner slot is between Karen and Myrtle. Both Roy and Joj & Jai are still in the third and fourth slots. 

Let us say that the votes end up at 1,000,000 mark only. 

MYRTLE (313,810) - (240,000) =73,810 or 2.11%
KAREN (212,170) - (50,000) =62,170 or 4.63%
JOJ & JAI - (78,120) - (5,000) =73,120 or 2.09%
ROY - (95,900) - (5,000) =90,900 or 2.60%

In this case, Roy and Karen are in the top two slots with Myrtle and the twins at the bottom. 
This might be the case in the end. 

So for Myrtle fans, the best way is for you to vote to evict both Karen and Roy to the fullest and save Myrtle. 

Ideal case for a MYRTLE win:
If Myrtle gets a total sum of 700,000 votes to save, with Karen having  at the very least 50,000 vote to evict and Roy around 5,000 votes to evict. 

755000 * 2.50 = roughly 2 million pesos so Myrtle will be the Big Winner.

Ideal case for KAREN win:
Cases 1 and 3 above.

Ideal case for ROY to win:
Case 3. With Karen votes to evict soaring, a little bit lower than Myrtle's.

So, we'll probably have ROY or KAREN as the BIG Winner while MYRTLE fans, 700,000 votes and more - that's all you need to do for her to be safe.

Post a Comment

4 comments

Anonymous said...

i will give my very support to karen if roy didn't make it at least si karen na lang kasi sa totoo lang sya rin malaki nabago sa ugali nya at nagpakatotoo talaga cya at mapakinabangan ng husto ang talent ni karen sa looks pa lang ang ganda na kahit wala make up.......

Edj said...

Hi! I'm very much interested with your mathematical analysis. Care to share how you came up with the projected votes, especially for eviction, IDK where you got the percentages since BBE is implemented just now.

Unknown said...

i'M NOT IN FAVOR OF MYRTHLE AS THE BIG WINNER. ALAM NYO BA YUNG SALITANG NAGPAKATOTOO DI LAMANG SA SARILI PATI SA IBANG TAO?

Anonymous said...

go for myrtle...!!

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